Mictlán vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
14.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
CON
50%
24%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
HAL
43%
28%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ZAC
4 - 0
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
DEP
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
CON
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
DEP
26%
28%
47%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
LEO
3 - 1
UNI
77%
16%
8%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
SAC
60%
21%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SAY
1 - 0
UNI
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
5 - 0
TEC
67%
19%
15%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |