Mictlán vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
22.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
HAL
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ESC
1 - 1
CON
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
TOR
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ESC
3 - 0
CON
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
VEN
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
HAL
2 - 0
MUN
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
COM
1 - 0
MUN
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
MUN
0 - 3
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MUN
3 - 2
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
MUN
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |