Mictlán vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
CON
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
VEN
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 1
CON
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 1
CON
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CON
3 - 2
CHI
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 2
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 0
LEO
48%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 2
ANT
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 0
COM
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 4
LEO
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |