Mictlán vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
28%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MUN
6 - 2
CON
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CON
1 - 3
CHI
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
7 - 0
CON
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
HER
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HAL
0 - 0
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 1
DEP
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
LEO
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 3
MUN
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 3
CHI
53%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
LEO
38%
28%
33%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |