Mictlán vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
30.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
HAL
3 - 1
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
COA
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CON
0 - 0
MUN
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
VEN
2 - 2
CON
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
CHI
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
MUN
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
VEN
0 - 0
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
HER
4 - 3
CHI
55%
23%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
SJE
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |