Mictlán vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HAL
0 - 0
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 0
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
ESC
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
VEN
3 - 3
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
COM
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HER
4 - 1
DEP
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HER
4 - 0
LEO
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MUN
0 - 0
HER
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
HER
32%
26%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |