Michigan Wolverines vs Michigan State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Michigan Wolverines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
WIS
3 - 2
MGW
10%
15%
75%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
MGW
2 - 0
OSE
60%
20%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MGW
0 - 1
IDH
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
MSS
1 - 2
MGW
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
OSE
2 - 2
MGW
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Michigan State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
OSE
0 - 1
MSS
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
MSS
4 - 1
WIS
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
MSS
1 - 2
MGW
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
MLT
2 - 1
MSS
60%
20%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
IDH
2 - 1
MSS
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |