Michigan Wolverines vs Michigan State analysis


23	ELO	17
-3.1%	Tilt	0.9%
45985º	General ELO ranking	46940º
726º	Country ELO ranking	775º
ELO win probability

70.2%

Michigan Wolverines

16.3%

Draw

13.5%

Michigan State

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

70.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%

16.3%

Draw

0-0

2.4%

1-1

2-2

3-3

1.6%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

16.3%

13.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%