Michigan State vs Northwestern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Michigan State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
MSS
0 - 2
OSE
39%
22%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
PSN
0 - 1
MSS
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
MGW
1 - 0
MSS
70%
16%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
MSS
0 - 2
RSK
33%
22%
45%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Northwestern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
OSE
4 - 2
NOR
63%
18%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 0
IDH
8%
14%
78%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | +3 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
WIS
2 - 5
NOR
37%
22%
42%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 4
MGW
18%
19%
63%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |