Michigan Stars vs Flower City Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Michigan Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
LAF
1 - 1
MSF
39%
26%
35%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MSF
0 - 0
GSD
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
MSF
1 - 2
BOB
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
GSD
2 - 3
MSF
14%
21%
66%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
MSF
0 - 1
ASD
51%
23%
27%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Flower City Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
FCU
82%
13%
6%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 1
CDL
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GSD
2 - 3
FCU
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FCU
2 - 0
BOB
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 3
FCU
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |