Flint City Bucks vs Dayton Dutch Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint City Bucks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
CIN
2 - 4
MIC
19%
23%
59%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
MIC
3 - 2
CFS
22%
21%
57%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
MIC
6 - 2
KWU
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
PIT
0 - 1
MIC
34%
24%
43%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MIC
4 - 1
CHI
83%
12%
6%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
DAY
0 - 1
CHA
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
COC
1 - 2
DAY
82%
12%
5%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
DAY
2 - 2
ROC
23%
28%
49%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
DAY
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
PNN
4 - 0
DAY
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |