MLS Semi-finals
Global 1-5
Miami Fusion vs San Jose Earthquakes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miami Fusion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
MIA
2 - 1
KCW
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
KCW
3 - 0
MIA
37%
25%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
MIA
2 - 0
KCW
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
MIA
3 - 1
DCU
58%
21%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
MIA
2 - 3
RBN
61%
20%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Jose Earthquakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
SJE
3 - 0
COC
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
COC
1 - 3
SJE
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
KCW
1 - 0
SJE
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
SJE
3 - 0
KCW
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
SJE
5 - 2
COR
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |