Miami FC vs Sacramento Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miami FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MIA
2 - 0
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MIA
0 - 5
KCW
13%
20%
67%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAC
1 - 0
MIA
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
MIA
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MIA
2 - 0
HAA
80%
14%
7%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SAC
2 - 2
ORA
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SES
0 - 1
SAC
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAC
1 - 2
ARI
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SAC
3 - 1
USA
34%
27%
40%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAC
1 - 0
NMU
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |