Miami FC vs Monterey Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miami FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 0
MIA
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
MIA
1 - 5
MEM
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
EPL
2 - 1
MIA
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
4 - 1
MIA
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
MIA
1 - 2
ORS
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Monterey Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MBF
0 - 0
EPL
41%
27%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NMU
3 - 2
MBF
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MBF
1 - 2
BLE
20%
25%
56%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MBF
2 - 2
TAM
13%
23%
65%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LOU
4 - 1
MBF
70%
18%
11%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |