Miami FC vs Monterey Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miami FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MIA
2 - 2
AFC
82%
13%
6%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NYO
1 - 7
MIA
12%
19%
69%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MIA
1 - 1
BLE
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MIA
1 - 0
LOU
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
HAA
0 - 2
MIA
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Monterey Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
MBF
3 - 3
ARI
10%
17%
74%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MBF
5 - 0
IND
11%
19%
70%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +7 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
MBF
1 - 0
ORA
6%
15%
79%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MBF
3 - 1
SDL
5%
14%
80%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MBF
0 - 2
LAG
7%
15%
79%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |