Miami FC vs Louisville City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miami FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
HAA
0 - 2
MIA
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 2
MIA
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
MIA
1 - 2
TUL
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
NMU
0 - 3
MIA
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 2
MIA
15%
20%
65%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DET
0 - 1
LOU
14%
23%
63%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 0
TAM
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LOU
4 - 1
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
EPL
0 - 1
LOU
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 0
ARI
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |