Miami FC vs Cincinnati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miami FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
NYC
3 - 1
MIA
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SFD
1 - 3
MIA
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
MIA
7 - 0
SFD
56%
26%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
MIA
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
MIA
3 - 2
AFC
36%
24%
40%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
CIN
2 - 3
ROC
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
CIN
0 - 2
VCF
6%
16%
79%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
CIN
3 - 0
PNN
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 3
CIN
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2017 |
CIN
2 - 0
RIC
64%
22%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |