Mgarr United FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
55.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mgarr United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ZEJ
2 - 2
MGA
47%
26%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MGA
0 - 2
GUD
82%
12%
5%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ATT
1 - 3
MGA
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MGA
0 - 2
QRE
33%
25%
43%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -3 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BIR
0 - 0
MGA
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zabbar St. Patrick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ZAB
0 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ZAB
3 - 1
GHA
83%
13%
4%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 2
ZAB
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ZAB
2 - 0
SGC
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
ZEJ
3 - 0
ZAB
16%
23%
62%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |