Mgarr United FC vs Marsa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mgarr United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
QRE
3 - 1
MGA
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MGA
1 - 0
SEN
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
LUQ
3 - 1
MGA
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MGA
1 - 1
MEL
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
BIR
3 - 4
MGA
15%
24%
61%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Marsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
LUQ
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SAI
1 - 1
MAR
24%
23%
53%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
4 - 4
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
SIR
47%
23%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAT
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |