MFK Mykolaiv vs FC Mariupol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MFK Mykolaiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
STA
1 - 1
MFK
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
MFK
1 - 3
TER
39%
29%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
MFK
0 - 0
DYN
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
PFC
5 - 0
MFK
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2014 |
MFK
0 - 2
STA
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ILL
1 - 4
DYN
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
ZOR
1 - 0
ILL
54%
24%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2014 |
ILL
3 - 3
CHO
35%
29%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ILL
1 - 2
VOL
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
OBO
1 - 1
ILL
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |