Karviná II vs Frýdek-Místek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
4º
12º
7º
7
7º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 37 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 36 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 34 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 29 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 28 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 27 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 26 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 25 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 25 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 24 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 20 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 20 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 20 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 19 |
14º
|
8% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 18 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 18 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 14 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 12 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 31.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karviná II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
MFK
2 - 0
VIK
42%
23%
35%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MFK
1 - 2
HOD
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
TRI
5 - 1
MFK
60%
22%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MFK
4 - 0
TJU
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MFK
6 - 1
STR
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Frýdek-Místek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
FRY
0 - 0
TJU
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TJS
2 - 1
FRY
34%
24%
43%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FRY
1 - 4
SLO
51%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ZNO
1 - 4
FRY
48%
22%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 0
FRY
24%
21%
55%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |