Mezzolara vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SCA
1 - 2
MEZ
53%
24%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
RAV
2 - 0
MEZ
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MEZ
2 - 1
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
UAR
3 - 0
MEZ
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MEZ
1 - 1
FOR
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 0
SDT
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 1
ALF
67%
18%
16%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 5
LEG
39%
26%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
COR
5 - 2
VIR
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 1
ROM
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |