Mezzolara vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 0
MEZ
28%
26%
45%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MEZ
2 - 1
SCA
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MEZ
1 - 2
SDT
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
COR
5 - 2
MEZ
69%
20%
12%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
MEZ
6 - 2
PIA
35%
26%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +4 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
USP
0 - 4
RIB
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 0
USP
47%
27%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
DEL
2 - 1
USP
73%
18%
9%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
USP
0 - 2
ACS
55%
25%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
USP
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |