Mezzolara vs Pianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
COR
1 - 2
MEZ
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 3
RIM
10%
20%
70%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
MEZ
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MEZ
3 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ROM
4 - 2
MEZ
59%
23%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PIA
0 - 0
LEN
50%
26%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
VFC
0 - 3
PIA
22%
25%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PIA
1 - 1
SAM
50%
26%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
USD
1 - 1
PIA
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PIA
2 - 0
VIL
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |