Mezzolara vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
75.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
MEZ
3 - 1
CLO
64%
20%
17%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
COR
0 - 0
MEZ
71%
17%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MEZ
0 - 1
AVI
40%
22%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MEZ
0 - 1
DEL
27%
24%
49%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -3 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
MEZ
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 0
AVI
78%
16%
6%
|
77 | 36 | 41 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 5
PAR
6%
17%
77%
|
77 | 29 | 48 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 1
VIL
83%
13%
4%
|
77 | 27 | 50 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
UAR
0 - 1
PAR
9%
20%
71%
|
77 | 36 | 41 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 2
PAR
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |