Mezzolara vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
59.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ADR
2 - 2
MEZ
43%
24%
34%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 1
CAL
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 1
MEZ
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SAV
2 - 0
MEZ
38%
23%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -3 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 0
FIO
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MOD
2 - 1
ASD
77%
16%
6%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LEN
0 - 1
MOD
17%
25%
58%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MOD
1 - 0
USD
76%
17%
7%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 0
MOD
17%
24%
59%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | -3 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
MOD
1 - 1
PIS
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |