Mezzolara vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
MEZ
1 - 0
USD
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 2
MEZ
55%
22%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MEZ
2 - 1
USD
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PSM
2 - 0
MEZ
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
MEZ
3 - 2
SAM
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
ASD
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FAN
2 - 1
FOR
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
LEN
1 - 1
FOR
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 2
ADR
41%
23%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SAV
2 - 0
FOR
32%
24%
45%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |