Mezzolara vs Correggese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
49.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
AVI
1 - 0
MEZ
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MEZ
2 - 1
UAR
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 2
MEZ
34%
25%
40%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MEZ
2 - 2
VIN
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 1
MEZ
36%
26%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Correggese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
COR
3 - 1
IMO
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
FOR
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 0
COR
37%
22%
41%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
COR
3 - 0
UAR
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LEG
2 - 1
COR
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |