Mezzolara vs Franciacorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 2
MEZ
32%
25%
44%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MEZ
1 - 1
FAN
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
MEZ
2 - 1
SAV
44%
23%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
LEN
1 - 0
MEZ
47%
26%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MEZ
3 - 1
FOR
44%
24%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ADR
4 - 2
BRE
58%
20%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 2
ADR
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ADR
1 - 2
ALF
84%
11%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FAN
1 - 1
ADR
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ADR
3 - 2
SAV
67%
17%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |