Mezzolara vs Bellaria Igea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 1
MEZ
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MEZ
1 - 0
DEL
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 0
MEZ
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SAM
5 - 0
MEZ
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
MEZ
0 - 0
SAN
19%
24%
58%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIN
1 - 3
AVI
14%
19%
67%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
UAR
2 - 1
VIN
77%
14%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VIN
2 - 2
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
COR
2 - 0
VIN
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
VIN
0 - 1
VIL
35%
25%
40%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |