Mezcaleros de Oaxaca vs Río Grande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+529%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
5º
4º
11
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
11 | 15 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 11 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 4 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 3 |
9º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezcaleros de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
MDO
1 - 0
IPE
88%
8%
4%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
MDO
2 - 2
CHA
19%
22%
59%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RGO
3 - 0
MDO
8%
13%
79%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
HAQ
5 - 1
MDO
69%
18%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
MDO
2 - 2
CHA
14%
21%
65%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Río Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
IPE
1 - 2
RGO
30%
22%
49%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RGO
2 - 2
CHA
15%
20%
65%
|
9 | 64 | 55 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RGO
3 - 0
MDO
8%
13%
79%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | +2 |