Mezcaleros de Oaxaca vs Chapulineros de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
58.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
5º
4º
14
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 15 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 11 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 4 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 3 |
9º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezcaleros de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RGO
3 - 0
MDO
8%
13%
79%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
HAQ
5 - 1
MDO
69%
18%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
MDO
2 - 2
CHA
14%
21%
65%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MDO
2 - 3
NEZ
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
IDN
2 - 4
MDO
76%
16%
9%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chapulineros de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 2
HAQ
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
NEZ
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
MDO
2 - 2
CHA
14%
21%
65%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 1
FUR
64%
21%
16%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
IDA
0 - 5
CHA
13%
20%
66%
|
64 | 27 | 37 | 0 |