Meyrin vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.8%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
84.3%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.8%
0-4
9.1%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.6%
0-5
5.3%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Meyrin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 4
MEY
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
MEY
1 - 6
BHA
13%
23%
64%
|
34 | 66 | 32 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
MEY
1 - 0
LAN
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LAU
0 - 2
MEY
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MEY
0 - 2
BAV
35%
24%
40%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 3
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
LPO
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 0
SIO
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
LPO
1 - 3
BAS
29%
24%
48%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |