Mexico U23 vs Japan U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MEX
4 - 2
SEN
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
MEX
1 - 0
SUI
58%
22%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MEX
2 - 0
GAB
88%
10%
3%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
MEX
0 - 0
KOR
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 0
MEX
34%
23%
43%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Japan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
JPN
3 - 0
EGY
62%
21%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
JPN
0 - 0
HND
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
JPN
1 - 0
MAR
68%
19%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 1
JPN
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
TUR
2 - 0
JPN
37%
24%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |