Mexico U23 vs Costa Rica U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
MEX
21%
21%
59%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
USA
3 - 0
MEX
26%
22%
52%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 2
MEX
42%
24%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
MEX
3 - 1
JPN
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MEX
4 - 2
SEN
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2015 |
JPN
2 - 0
CRC
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
CRC
0 - 1
EGY
35%
24%
41%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
ARG
4 - 0
CRC
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
CRC
4 - 2
POR
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
CRC
0 - 2
IRQ
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -2 |