Mexico U23s vs Brazil U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico U23s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
KOR
3 - 6
MEX
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 3
MEX
17%
22%
62%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
JPN
2 - 1
MEX
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
4 - 1
FRA
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
AUS
2 - 3
MEX
11%
15%
74%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Brazil U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
EGY
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
KSA
1 - 3
BRA
11%
19%
70%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
CIV
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
4 - 2
DEU
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
5 - 2
UAE
87%
10%
4%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |