Mexico U20 vs USSR U20s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
4.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1977 |
MEX
1 - 1
BRA
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1977 |
FRA
1 - 1
MEX
62%
20%
19%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1977 |
ESP
1 - 1
MEX
65%
18%
16%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1977 |
MEX
6 - 0
TUN
69%
17%
14%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
USSR U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1977 |
URU
0 - 0
SUN
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 67 | 46 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1977 |
AUT
0 - 0
SUN
86%
9%
5%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1977 |
PAR
1 - 2
SUN
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 60 | 41 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 1977 |
SUN
3 - 1
IRQ
23%
26%
51%
|
5 | 50 | 45 | +14 |