Mexico U20 vs New Zealand U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2019 |
MEX
1 - 3
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
KSA
1 - 1
MEX
11%
15%
74%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
NED
3 - 2
MEX
24%
21%
56%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
30%
24%
46%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
PAN
2 - 2
MEX
17%
22%
61%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
New Zealand U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
USA
6 - 0
NZL
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
NZL
0 - 2
FRA
10%
19%
72%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
NZL
3 - 1
HND
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +5 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
VIE
0 - 0
NZL
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
NZL
81%
15%
5%
|
37 | 69 | 32 | 0 |