Mexico U20 vs Nigeria U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1985 |
ENG
0 - 1
MEX
27%
29%
43%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1985 |
PAR
0 - 2
MEX
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
CHN
1 - 3
MEX
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1983 |
MEX
0 - 1
SCO
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
KOR
2 - 1
MEX
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1985 |
AUS
2 - 3
NGA
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1985 |
SUN
2 - 1
NGA
29%
29%
42%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
NGA
2 - 0
CAN
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1983 |
NGA
0 - 0
NED
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1983 |
BRA
3 - 0
NGA
76%
16%
9%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |