Mexico U20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2019 |
MEX
1 - 3
NZL
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
MEX
1 - 3
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
KSA
1 - 1
MEX
11%
15%
74%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
NED
3 - 2
MEX
24%
21%
56%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
30%
24%
46%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
SUI
3 - 0
ITA
23%
23%
55%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 1
CZE
44%
22%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
NED
3 - 2
ITA
31%
22%
47%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 3
GER
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 2
POR
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |