Mexico U20 vs Brazil U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1977 |
FRA
1 - 1
MEX
62%
20%
19%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1977 |
ESP
1 - 1
MEX
65%
18%
16%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1977 |
MEX
6 - 0
TUN
69%
17%
14%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Brazil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1977 |
BRA
2 - 0
ITA
75%
14%
11%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1977 |
CIV
1 - 1
BRA
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1977 |
BRA
5 - 1
IRN
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1977 |
BRA
3 - 1
PAR
68%
17%
15%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1977 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
74%
15%
11%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |