Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-0
México FC vs Zamora CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 2
ALC
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 1
LOR
16%
25%
60%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CAN
1 - 2
ALC
16%
21%
63%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 0
RVB
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
PNT
3 - 0
ALC
15%
22%
63%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -3 |
Matches
Zamora CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 0
ZAM
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ZAM
2 - 1
HAR
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
UXA
0 - 4
ZAM
7%
17%
76%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ZAM
2 - 0
CEB
85%
11%
5%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
BAÑ
2 - 6
ZAM
13%
21%
66%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | +1 |