México FC vs SAD Villaverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
10º
18º
13º
31
6º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 73 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 65 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 57 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 57 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 49 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 48 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 37 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 28 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 26 |
17º
|
29% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LRZ
1 - 1
MEX
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MEX
3 - 1
CAN
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 1
MEX
64%
21%
15%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MEX
0 - 1
TRJ
41%
23%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 0
MEX
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
SAD Villaverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
ADP
51%
24%
26%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
CPO
40%
25%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LRZ
1 - 1
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAN
42%
26%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 2
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |