México FC vs SAD Villaverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
MEX
4 - 0
ARA
55%
24%
21%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
MEX
34%
25%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CDE
0 - 0
MEX
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MEX
2 - 2
ALC
39%
28%
34%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
STA
0 - 2
MEX
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SAD Villaverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SIE
1 - 0
VIL
33%
26%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
VAL
31%
28%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ADP
0 - 0
VIL
43%
25%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
PNT
23%
25%
52%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |