Tercera Playoffs Final
Global 2-5
México FC vs Villarrubia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ALC
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 0
ZAM
32%
28%
40%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 2
ALC
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 1
LOR
16%
25%
60%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CAN
1 - 2
ALC
16%
21%
63%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Villarrubia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
BER
2 - 1
VRU
43%
27%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
VRU
2 - 0
BER
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
VRU
1 - 0
COR
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
COR
1 - 1
VRU
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 0
VRU
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |