México FC vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
LEG
2 - 3
ALC
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 1
STA
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CDM
4 - 0
ALC
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
RVB
2 - 1
ALC
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ALC
3 - 0
VAL
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
RVB
28%
24%
49%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
ALC
50%
26%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAR
43%
27%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
TRJ
62%
22%
17%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |