México FC vs CDE Madrid 2021 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
14º
6º
29
11º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
42% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 68% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 32% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 2
ALC
20%
23%
57%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALC
3 - 0
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RVB
1 - 2
ALC
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALC
4 - 1
GAL
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LRZ
3 - 1
ALC
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CDE Madrid 2021
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CDE
3 - 1
TRJ
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDM
3 - 1
CDE
59%
22%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDE
0 - 1
CVI
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
CDE
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CDE
2 - 3
POZ
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |