México FC vs Moratalaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 1
POZ
60%
23%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
CDE
1 - 0
ALC
20%
23%
57%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ADA
3 - 4
ALC
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 2
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
LEG
2 - 3
ALC
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Moratalaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
RVB
21%
21%
59%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
VAL
2 - 3
MOR
62%
22%
16%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 2
ALC
39%
26%
35%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 1
MOR
50%
25%
25%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 1
TRJ
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |