Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
México FC vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
59.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
CAN
1 - 2
ALC
16%
21%
63%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 0
RVB
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
PNT
3 - 0
ALC
15%
22%
63%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -3 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDM
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
POZ
3 - 1
ALC
13%
21%
66%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 0
NUE
91%
7%
2%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
YEC
1 - 1
LOR
14%
23%
62%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
LOR
3 - 1
OLI
92%
7%
2%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
MIN
0 - 2
LOR
7%
20%
74%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LOR
6 - 2
CFC
92%
7%
1%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |