México FC vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 0
ALC
35%
24%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 0
CAL
67%
20%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
POZ
2 - 2
ALC
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ALC
2 - 2
RVB
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ADA
1 - 1
ALC
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
SFN
0 - 1
CDE
37%
25%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
5 - 1
SFN
33%
24%
43%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SFN
1 - 0
ALC
42%
26%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
SFN
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SFN
3 - 1
STA
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |